The Texas State Bobcats and North Texas Mean Green are set to take center stage on Friday when they square off in the 2025 First Responder Bowl in Dallas. Texas State finished the regular season with an overall record of 7-5, including 5-3 in the Sun Belt Conference. North Texas opens with a 6-6 overall record, including 3-5 in American Athletic Conference play. Both teams lost several key players to the transfer portal. North Texas will likely be hit harder, missing starting quarterback Chandler Morris, wide receiver DT Sheffield, tight end Oscar Hammond and center Tyler Mercer, among others. Texas State lost starting right tackle Alex Harkey, starting running back Ismail Mahdi and starting cornerback Josh Eaton.
Kickoff is set for 4 p.m. ET at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas. The latest North Texas vs. Texas State odds have Texas State as a 14-point favorite, but SportsLine’s consensus over/under is 63.5 points. Before you enter your Texas State vs. North Texas picks, check out our college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer models.
This model simulates every FBS game 10,000 times. Since its inception, College Spread Football has generated well over $2,000 in betting profits on $100 players on top-rated picks, with a 43-35 lead on all top-rated picks during the 2024 season. It is a loss. They also nailed all four winners in the first round of the College Football Playoff. Those who follow on sportsbooks and betting apps are making impressive profits.
The model has its sights set on Texas State vs. North Texas and has just locked in its picks and First Responder Bowl predictions. Visit SportsLine now to see our model picks. Below are some North Texas vs. Texas State college football betting lines.
Texas State vs. North Texas spread: Texas State -14 Texas State vs. North Texas over/under: 63.5 points Texas State vs. North Texas money line: Texas State -546, North Texas +400 Texas State vs. North Texas pick: See our picks on SportsLine Texas State vs. North Texas Streaming: FuboTV (Try It Free)
What you need to know about Texas
Texas State comes into this matchup in much better shape than North Texas from a continuity standpoint. The Bobcats will be without several key players, but will also return some key players, including standout quarterback Jordan McLeod.
McLeod is a two-way threat at the quarterback position and has the ability to command the game. He finished Friday with 2,920 passing yards, 29 touchdown passes, 12 interceptions, 276 rushing yards and seven rushing touchdowns. McLeod expects two targets from the regular season to be available for this game: Joey Hobart and Jayden Williams. Find out which team to choose here.
What you need to know about North Texas
North Texas will rely on true freshman Drew Mestemaker, who served as Morris’ backup during the regular season, to carry the keys to the offense. North Texas is expected to have its top two rushers available for Friday’s matchup in junior Shane Porter and freshman Makenzie McGill II. Porter led the team with 643 yards and five touchdowns during the regular season, while McGill rushed for 442 yards and nine scores.
Senior wide receiver Damon Ward Jr. (36-622-4) will likely see an expanded role with Sheffield left out. North Texas has historically dominated this series against Texas State, 29-7-3. The last time the Bobcats beat North Texas was in 1991. Find out which team to choose here.
How to choose North Texas vs. Texas State
The model simulated Texas State vs. North Texas 10,000 times and the results are in. The model leans towards total points and also produces point spread picks that hit in 70% of the simulations. You can see the model picks only on Sportsline.
Who will win Texas State vs. North Texas in the 2025 First Responder Bowl? Which side of the spread will hit 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread Texas State vs. North Texas Find out if you should jump on it. All from advanced models that have earned well over $2,000 in top-rated spread picks since their inception.
