The Los Angeles Dodgers are taking a thrilling victory over the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday night. Shohei Ohtani hit a three-run home run in the nine innings to hold off a wild comeback. Los Angeles followed 11-8 in the ninth inning after blowing an early five-run lead, but Otani’s Homer completed the final frame of six runs. Ohtani has yards in four of his last five games, with 12 home runs heading into Saturday’s MLB schedule throughout the season. He is +260 (risk of winning $260) to go to yards with the odds of his latest MLB home run on the Caesars Sportsbook on Saturday.
Yankees Slugger Aaron Judge (+125) has the shortest home run odds than anyone else on Saturday. The judge has 12 home runs this season too, so should he and Otani bet on Saturday’s MLB home run bet? The first pitch of the day will take place at 4:05pm ET. MLB props available to almost all players in all games SportsbookSportsline’s proven computer model will help you find the value to add to your MLB Home Run Pick.
This model simulates all games 10,000 times and has been rolling 10-5 with all top-rate MLB Money Line Picks since the start of the season. The model has hit at least one MLB home run prop in four of the last eight days, surpassing 25.55 units in MLB HR picks in the last 32 days. Currently, the Model and Sportsline data scientists team are revealing some predictions for the most bets MLB HR prop bets on Saturday. These three picks can also be processed at +10601 odds, paying $1,060.16 with a $10 bet on Fanduel.
Brent Luker, Athletics (+350)
Rooker has been tied with Tyler Soderstrom for a team lead on his home run this season (9). The 30-year-old has hit .300 with a 1.049 OPS vs left-handed pitcher this season, with Yankees starter Carlos Rodon allowing 28 of his 31 homers to right-handed batters last year. Rooker is 9-0 and has four strikeouts against Rodon in his career, but the model expects that to change on Saturday.
“In this game, we expect optimal batting conditions for 10 out of 10 points in the home run index,” said Jacob Fetner of Sportsline Data Analyst. “I set the Rooker line to Homer at +310.” DraftKings Sportsbook We offer the best line at +350. If you bet $5, you will get instant bonus bets.
Jackson Chourio, Brewer (+475)
Chaurio and Christian Yellich have each held six home runs this season to lead Milwaukee, and Chowio is looking for his first long ball since April 26th. Chourio faces Taj Bradley, the Rays starter who allowed five Homers throughout the first seven starts of the season.
“Rays ‘SP Taj Bradley has a career rate of 1.6 hours/9, and play at Steinbrenner Field doesn’t help those numbers,” says Fetner. This model has a Chourio line set at +405, so we get value here betmgm Provided by +475.
Anthony Santander, Blue Jays (+420)
Santander is another player who will lead his team on home runs this season, sitting in front of Vladimir Guerrero and George Springer. The Toronto designated batsman hit the fifth Homer in his campaign with the Angels on Tuesday, and after sitting on Friday he is resting. Santander is 14-5 during the series at Anaheim, leaving him away from consecutive multi-hit games. He faces Mariners rookie pitcher Logan Evans. Logan Evans had an ERA of 7.20 and gave up 11 hits in the final start.
“Fundayel offers a strong line because prices are low in the 300s in many books,” Fetner said. “Tonight, Santander set a line of around +375 to hit HR.” You can find the odds for the best Santander home run at Fanduel, where you can win a $5 win and earn a bonus bet of up to $200.
More MLB picks on Saturdays
I saw the model’s MLB HR prop pick for a few players on Saturday. Next, you get the MLB projections of all the player props in Sportsline.
Do you need more from the sports line? Check out today’s best MLB picks from Sportsline’s Matt Severance, who has a 98-49 roll on a baseball pick. Are you still craving more? Sportsline’s Blues Marshall is 26-15 with his final 41 MLB ATS pick and he is already trapped on the pick on Saturday.
