Ukraine on Tuesday agreed to a preliminary proposal proposed by the Trump administration. This called for a 30-day ceasefire, subject to accepting Russian conditions at the main steps to end the brutal war.
But even if the Trump administration could take Moscow to the negotiation table and end the three-year war under the new treaty, can the Kremlin chief be trusted, even if some security experts say that Russian President Vladimir Putin is not under actual pressure?
Russia under Putin has repeatedly violated formal international agreements aimed at protecting Ukrainian sovereignty, primarily from former Soviet overlords.
From left, US National Security Advisor Mike Waltz, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal bin Fahan, Saudi National Security Advisor Mosad bin Mohammed Al Ivan, Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andri Sibiha, and presidency Ukrainian Head Andri Yelia will hold a Jedi meeting in Arabia. (Saul Loeb/Pool Photo via AP)
Ukraine accepts the deal, Rubio says: “We’ll bring this to the Russians.”
These agreements agreed in exchange for a 1994 Budapest Memorandum of Understanding Ukraine agreed to abandon nuclear weapons in exchange for a guarantee of territorial integrity following its withdrawal from the Soviet Union in 1991, and a guarantee of territorial integrity in 1997, including friendship, cooperation, and partnerships in which Moscow and Kieff agreed to respect one existing border. Both transactions were first breached in 2014 when President Putin seized Crimea and supported Russian separatists in the Donbas region.
The 2014-2015 Minsk agreement was criticized as “weak,” but attempted to end Russian invasions in eastern Ukraine.
Some world leaders and security officials, including Ukrainian President Voldy Mie Zelensky, have warned that the peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is unlikely to be achieved against Putin’s credibility in compliance with international agreements without serious security commitments from the West.
“The problem here is that the Russians only understand the outcome of Winroes. This means that in order to prevent them from attacking Ukraine again, they must see that they are the losers of the war, as they did at the end of the Cold War.”
On May 15, 2023, Ukrainian soldiers fire cannons near Bakhmut, an eastern city in which a fierce battle with Russian troops is taking place in the Donetsk region of Ukraine. (AP Photo/libkos)
An interviewed by Fox News Digital, a security officer argued that securing the future of Ukraine is not a “trust” Putin. It is about actually putting Russia in a position that hinders Moscow more than is seduced by an unchecked opportunity for future violations.
Trump threatens sanctions against Russia and demands peace after a huge hit in Ukraine
“Even if the deal closes, Russia will continue its secret operations around the world to expand its footprint in terms of geopolitical impact,” a former DIA Intelligence Officer told Fox News Digital, saying it could continue its election interference intervention campaign, cyber warfare, cyber warfare and operations around the world.
“There is no peace in Russian strategic military thinking. You are in constant conflict.”
Ryan argued that Trump’s peace agreement requires us to look back at lessons learned from previously failed agreements, such as the World War II treaty in Versailles.
“How to solve this challenge. Just as we did after World War II… the reconstruction of Ukraine must include economic reconciliation with Russia,” Ryan said. “The Russians saw how they rebuilt the losers in Germany and Japan in World War II. They were hoping to do the same for Russia after the Cold War, but they weren’t.
“If you want lasting peace in Ukraine and want to divide Russia from China, you can’t make the same mistake,” he added, noting that other enemies are seeing how they handle this geopolitical hurdle.
Ukrainian soldiers training the Eidal battalion at an undecided location in Donetsk Oblast on April 4th, 2023. (Diego Herrera Carcedo/Anadolu Agency byotty Images)
The debate over the territory occupied by the Trump administration, international recognition of the occupied territories, international aid and support in Ukraine, international confiscation of frozen Russian assets, international forfeiture of Zelensky, international forfeiture at home, European returns, European bored Ukraen veterans, European bored Ukraen children have many obstacles when it comes to attempts to negotiate with President Putin, including international forfeiture of Zelensky standing at home, international forfeiture of Ukraine assets. Hudson Institute.
“President Putin has formally annexed four Ukrainian duties, like Crimea. However, Moscow has not yet completely conquered the four,” Raf told Fox News Digital during his trip to Ukraine. “I can’t imagine withdrawing from areas controlled by Ukraine and fighting their teeth and claws to protect those areas.
“I also doubt that the West will provide Dejres awareness to the Moscow control areas,” he added. “So Putin will have to engulf it all with the peace agreement.”
While only each issue is a massive venture to negotiate, and Ukraine may outline the concessions this week that it can make to secure a US-adjusted deal, it is unlikely that Putin will do the same, according to Koffler, who described NATO ahead of his invasion of Putin’s plan in 2022.
Rubio says at the Ukraine conference mineral trade “not the main topic on the agenda”
“Putin believes he is in a strong position and is unlikely to make concessions,” Koffler told Fox News Digital. “The disparity in combat possibilities is more dramatically supportive of Russia than Ukraine, which has been abandoned after Putin transitioned Russian troops and economy during the war seven years before the Ukrainian invasion.”
Russian President Vladimir Putin is chairing the conference on the 2025 and 2026 planning periods, via drafting the 2025 and 2026 planning periods for 2025 and 2026 and video links in the Kremlin on September 18, 2023. (Sputnik/Mikhail Metzel/Pool)
“President Putin believes Russia has prepared to fight until the last Ukrainian, up to the last Ukrainian, NATO Arsenal’s last missile,” she adds, reflecting a January warning issued by NATO executive director Mark Latte, who said over three months that Russia’s defense industry output is on par with what NATO all produces.
“Putin doesn’t want to give Ukraine, the US or NATO a strategic suspension, so it’s very unlikely to agree to a ceasefire,” Koffler said. “He doesn’t trust Washington. He doesn’t trust President Trump any more than we trust Putin.
“He trusts Trump even fewer than Biden because he can read Biden and predict what he does. He can’t read Trump because Trump is unpredictable.”
Experts argued that there were too many variables that could be deployed during negotiations to determine whether Putin is properly accountable or “trusted” with regard to future agreements.
Ukrainian soldiers are working with the Pion cannon north on the frontline of Donbas as the Russian-Ukraine war continues in Donetsk, Ukraine on January 7, 2023. (Diego Herrera Carcedo/Anadolu Agency byotty Images)
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In the end, Koffler said Putin would not leave eastern Ukraine.
“Ukraine has always been a red line for Putin in terms of who has geopolitical control over it, and he will continue to enforce this red line,” she said. “The only way to ensure Putin does not invade other countries is to make NATO stronger again, strengthen its forced attitude, increase defence spending, secure command and control networks, and develop actual deterrence and anti-tactics that address every prong of Putin’s strategy.”
